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Open the Cash menu or your portfolio and choose Withdraw. Select the available token and network, enter an amount and a receiving address, then review the transfer before confirming. Choose Trading balance to withdraw from your personal trading wallet. Pending or reserved funds cannot be withdrawn again. You can follow recorded outgoing transfers in Activity.

Sign in and choose Write your thesis on a market or in the Theses feed. Pick your prediction, explain your evidence, catalyst, and what would change your mind, then review and publish. You must currently hold shares in the selected outcome. Positions in your Thesis trading wallet and verified imported Polymarket positions qualify. You can choose whether to attach imported position details publicly. Posting a thesis never places a trade.

The original text, probability and market snapshot stay preserved. Open your thesis to add a dated follow-up with new reasoning and an updated probability. A follow-up does not overwrite the original. Each author can publish one original per exact market context.

A signed-in account owns each post, but display names are self-selected. New theses require a current position in the selected outcome, checked by the server. Older opinions remain on record, and authors can add follow-ups after closing their position. An attached imported position is checked against the linked Polymarket account and saved as a snapshot at publication. Older publications may contain browser-reported trade details. Prices and market terms are snapshots at publication. Useful votes are reader feedback, not predictive accuracy. Related-question feeds can contain different market deadlines: inspect the frozen context on each thesis. No verified forecast ranking is currently calculated.

Published theses and follow-ups are stored with your Thesis account. Sign in with the same account on another device to find them. Wallet balances are read from their networks, and trading positions are read from the venue. A downloaded thesis record preserves its original text and hash; it is an application receipt, not a blockchain attestation.

Sign in, open a market and read its rules. Open Add Cash and deposit a supported token on its selected network. It converts into pUSD in your personal Polymarket wallet. For funds already in your Thesis wallet, choose Use wallet funds and review the conversion separately. Wait for Available to trade to update, then choose an outcome and review your purchase. Orders spend settled trading funds within your price limit. Trading depends on the venue’s availability in your location.

Cash combines available supported stablecoins in your personal wallet and pUSD in your Polymarket account. Pending deposits and reserved transfers are not spendable. Native ETH and SOL remain crypto until converted. Available to trade shows only settled pUSD in your personal trading wallet. Use Add Cash to convert other wallet funds before reviewing an order.

Add Cash shows a personal deposit route for the selected supported token and network. The deposit provider converts your funds into pUSD and delivers it to your own Polymarket trading wallet. Check the displayed minimum and fees before sending. Send only the selected token on its selected network; an address alone does not identify a network. Existing Thesis wallet balances can be converted separately through Use wallet funds.

You buy shares in the selected outcome of a defined question. Payouts, invalid outcomes and cancellations follow that market’s provider and published settlement rules. Polymarket orders use its trading system. Thesis originals have their own rules and are not open for funded trading until settlement is connected.

A displayed percentage is market information, not a guaranteed execution price. Available orders, fees and trade size affect execution. Read the current order review before confirming. A market price reflects trading activity and is not a guaranteed forecast.

Trading fees depend on the market and provider. Conversions can add bridge or swap fees. Thesis covers network gas on supported sponsored routes; any other required network fees are shown in the review. The transfer and order reviews show the quoted amounts, price limits and estimated fees. There is no universal fee rate across all markets.

Open your portfolio and choose the position to sell. Review the number of shares, price limit and fees before confirming. An order may fill completely, fill partially or remain unfilled, depending on its type and available liquidity. A sale depends on the market’s availability and liquidity. A settled market may offer a claim instead.

Price limits protect an order from executing beyond the reviewed bound. Converting existing wallet funds has a separate review with a minimum received amount and an expiry. Refresh expired reviews before signing. After pUSD arrives, review your purchase at the current market price. A failed or expired order leaves any unspent trading funds in your personal wallet.

Open the recorded transfer or order and check its status. A timeout does not prove failure. Thesis retains signed transactions and checks the network before allowing conflicting operations. Add Cash tracks direct deposits and separate wallet conversions. Available to trade updates from confirmed pUSD balances. A completed deposit or conversion does not place an order; review a purchase separately when the funds are ready.

Cash and position values are reported separately. Venue position values are estimates and may differ from an executable sale. An unavailable or stale balance is labeled accordingly rather than treated as zero. Trading, conversion and network fees affect your final return; a displayed position value is not a guaranteed withdrawal amount.

A claim becomes available when the market provider has finalized the outcome and the position is eligible. Use the claim action in your portfolio and review it before confirming. Payouts go to the relevant personal trading wallet. Settlement and invalid-outcome rules differ between providers; read the market’s own rules.

Polymarket determines results under its published market rules and resolution process. Thesis displays those source rules and outcomes. Thesis originals use a separate proposal and challenge design, which is shown only for originals. Publishing a thesis does not determine the market result.

Proposal, challenge and arbitration procedures belong to the market’s provider. The 100-unit proposal bond, 24-hour challenge period and seven-day committee deadline describe the Thesis originals design only. They do not apply to Polymarket markets.

Cancellation, invalid outcomes, delayed settlement and their payouts follow the provider’s market rules. A deadline passing alone does not establish a final result. The half-unit INVALID payout and timeout rules shown for Thesis originals do not apply automatically to imported markets.

Check the data source on each market. Imported markets follow their provider’s published rules, and any simulated examples are labeled. An underlying stock’s official close, a Stock Token’s oracle value, and a simulated equity price are different instruments and sources. The source and exact observation rule shown on the market determine its result; the app never silently substitutes simulated evidence for a live source.

The calendar shows trading close, observation, earliest proposal time, and published challenge or committee deadlines for Thesis originals. Imported market dates appear on their market pages. All calendar times use UTC. The earliest proposal time is not a guaranteed finalization or payout time. A downloaded calendar is a snapshot; later proposals and disputes can introduce additional events.

No. Alerts are optional, browser-local, and checked while Thesis Markets is open. You can choose probability moves, scheduled Thesis Originals trading closes, and resolution updates for saved markets. Closing the app stops monitoring. There is no email or background push delivery, and preferences do not automatically sync between devices.

The leaderboard shows Polymarket’s public trader rankings. Choose a time period and category, then rank by Polymarket-reported P&L or trading volume. These are Polymarket-wide results, including traders who haven’t joined Thesis. Rankings refresh every minute while the page is open; open a trader’s source profile for their public Polymarket history.

No. Thesis Markets is an independent application. Thesis Markets is not affiliated with or endorsed by Robinhood and does not provide access to Robinhood accounts or balances.

Check that you signed in to the same Thesis account. Linking X in Settings lets you use Google or X for that account. Your personal wallet addresses and published theses belong to your account. Network or provider errors can temporarily hide a balance without moving your funds. Guest preview activity and alert preferences remain on that browser.